Eastern Michigan vs Ball State 10/16/2010

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Ball State is a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over Eastern Michigan. Kelly Page is averaging 157 passing yards and 1.5 TDs per simulation and MiQuale Lewis is projected for 73 rushing yards and a 55% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where Eastern Michigan wins, Alex Gillett averages 2.17 TD passes vs 0.73 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.21 TDs to 1.05 interceptions. Dwayne Priest averages 88 rushing yards and 1.03 rushing TDs when Eastern Michigan wins and 75 yards and 0.53 TDs in losses. Ball State has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BALL -13

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